Chris de Freitas, quoted in the Calgary Sun: “The fear-mongering about more droughts and more floods is pure hype and pure speculation and is not based on science.” (Hat tip Benny Peiser for the link.) Dai et al., Journal of Hydrometeorology: Vol. 5, No. 6, pp. 1117–1130 Together, the global land areas in either very …
Following a trail of Googlecrumbs, I stumbled across this today, which may be the first climate story I ever wrote. It’s on Henri Grissino-Mayer’s tree ring work out at El Malpais, one of the best and longest southwest climate reconstructions available: This may be a desert, but new research suggests the past two centuries have …
Last month, I mentioned the flood of climate news out of NASA. Well, it appears the logjam in poor George Deutsch‘s inbox was truly enormous. A couple of new ones that landed this week: Earth’s big heat bucket Northern forest affected by global warming (this one must have been in Deutsch’s inbox for a while …
Drought is almost surely the most important piece of climate change/variability in terms of its impacts on human society (sorry, hurricane fans – I’ll defend this if needed). And sub-Saharan Africa is ground zero, the Gulf Coast of drought risk. So this should give pause – evidence that the models aren’t getting African drought right: …
Robert Lee Hotz had a great piece over the weekend in the LA Times about phenology as a climate change detector: By analyzing decades of records kept by regional maple sugar producers, climate researchers are finding clear evidence here of what Rex Marsh can feel in his bones. The weather just isn’t what it used …
Via James Annan, a BBC piece on the “cry wolf” problem: Hardly a day goes by without a new dire warning about climate change. But some claims are more extreme than others, giving rise to fears that the problem is being oversold and damaging the issue. I’ve written narrowly about this problem before from a …
Continue reading ‘BBC on the Overselling of Climate Science’ »
David comments on how wet it’s been in Oregon, prompting me to find a national map: (From the Western Regional Climate Center’s excellent Standardized Precipitation Index page, where you can pick your starting point and the most useful way to display the data.) Wet up north, dry down south. To first order, a classic La …
I’d been meaning to look at this a while ago, because all climate change is ultimately local, but just got around to it today. The last time we had a freeze in Albuquerque was March 23, and it’s reasonable to think that’ll stand as the last freeze of spring. We won’t know for sure for …
A comment worth pulling out and highlighting (even if it is somewhat critical of me). Mickey Glantz, whose ideas about climate science and policy and politics I greatly respect, takes me to task for airing Jim Hansen’s draft ENSO paper: You know that Hansen’s paper was just a draft…. Anyone could (and some did) jump …
Via Roger Pielke Jr., reference to a new draft from Jim Hansen that usefully clarifies the El Nino discussion of last week: Present version should make clear that what we are saying is: Global warming has increased the east-west equatorial temperature gradient and that should increase the probability of a super El Nino. It is …