“partición de bienes” – Albuquerque’s Long Lots

Sunday’s bike ride book research took us up along the old Duranes ditch, through Albuquerque’s near north valley. The landscape is still wearing its winter coat, but it’s clearly dusting off its leaf-growing apparatus and getting ready for spring. We stopped to get a look at one of my favorite old farm fields, on Los …

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Deadpool Diaries: Colorado River report card

With the March 24-month study out, a status report on the Colorado River Basin’s critical numbers. I’ve added the “minimum probable” forecast this time to help better understand the risk profile. In brief, water users continue to take more water out of Lake Mead than is flowing in. Most Probable Lake Mead million acre feet …

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Does 2023’s “cabin crusher” of a snowpack herald a return of California’s Tulare Lake?

It is easy to forget that California’s Tulare Lake, in the southern San Joaquin Valley, once competed with Lake Cahuilla (the “Salton Sea”) for the title of “largest lake west of the Mississippi”. We drained it. We farm it. But as Erica Gies happily reminds us at every opportunity, water is a formidable adversary if …

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Deadpool Diaries: A report card on our response to inconvenient science

A Colorado River report card Lake Mead Water Year 2023, based on the most recent Bureau of Reclamation 24-month study Lake Mead million acre feet percent full Start of WY2023 7.328 28.08% End of WY2023 6.508 24.93% gain(loss) (0.820) -3.14%   Current forecast U.S. Lower Basin water use state projected use in maf percent of …

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Inching toward El Niño

Today’s ENSO outlook (El Niño Southern Oscillation) suggests a consensus among “the models” that the odds are tipping toward an El Niño for the coming summer and fall. The humans in the loop are more bearish: The most recent IRI plume favors ENSO-neutral to continue through the spring, with El Niño forming during summer 2023 …

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March 1 runoff forecasts are solid

With a solid snowpack in all of my rivers, we’ve got a pair of solid March 1 forecasts for 2023 runoff. Rio Grande 102 percent at Otowi, the main forecast point for water entering New Mexico’s Middle Rio Grande Valley. Implications: While we don’t have a formal Annual Operating Plan for the Albuquerque Bernalillo County …

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