A promising seasonal forecast for the Colorado River Basin

The federal Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal forecast, out this morning, looks promising for the Colorado River Basin:

November-January seasonal forecast, courtesy CPC

November-January seasonal forecast, courtesy CPC

These forecast maps can be visually deceptive. The greens mean a shift of odds toward wetter weather, not a forecast that we should expect wetter weather. Dice, loaded slightly in our favor. You can see all the precip maps here, which are showing odds tipped toward wet well into the spring across most of the basin, with especially strong odds of wetter weather in the southern part of the basin.

Just beware the risk (reality?) of warmer temperatures, which pose the risk of sapping river flows once the water hits the ground.