A truly awful Colorado River snowpack so far in 2026

Line graph titled “Lake Powell 104 – Group SNOTEL Plot” showing seasonal snow water equivalent (SWE) for 104 SNOTEL sites. The x-axis runs from October 1 to September 1. The left y-axis shows SWE in inches (0 to 18); the right y-axis shows percent of median peak (0 to 116%). Three lines are shown: a blue line for the current year, a red line for the median year, and a black dotted line for the median peak envelope. As of January 31, the current year SWE (blue) is about 6.1 inches, roughly 64% of the median for that date, and about 39% of the median seasonal peak. The median year (red) continues rising to a peak of about 11 inches in early April, while the dotted median peak curve reaches about 15.5 inches in early April before declining to zero by early summer. The current year remains well below both median trajectories through late January.

2002 (orange) and 2026 (blue) for the snow stations above Lake Powell

Via Eric Kuhn, the snowpack above Lake Powell is miserable. 2002 was the lowest year on record for unregulated April-July inflow into Lake Powell. This year is starting off even worse.

4 Comments

  1. Snowpack and runoff are two different things
    24 years ago, there were way more fires and way less trees
    How many months this year will have zero natural flow into Lake Powell?

  2. 2002 snowpack and runoff were terrible on the Rio Grande and San Juan. Think the San Juan Chama Project diverted about 6,000 acre-feet into the Rio Grande that year (normal would be between 80,0000 and 120,000 acre-feet. Heck, for Colorado on the mainstem Rio Grande, we had to negotiate a new delivery by Colorado to New Mexico because the actual inflow that year was lower than any contemplated in the Rio Grande Compact. Only thing that allowed us to manage thru the year was releases of water stored in previous years. If this dryness continues, with no storage to speak of, 2026 will be a very difficult year of water management/flows and, unfortunately, possibly fires.

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