On Groundwater, Look to Kansas?

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Wayne Bossert is amused at the wailing emanating from California about the notion that someone should start keeping track of the water they pump from the ground:

For the Californians in the audience, I’d like to offer that Kansas has been monitoring water use since the mid 1970s, took significant strides to improve that monitoring in the late 1980s, and began metering all non-domestic wells in selected areas in the late 1990s.  Today, Kansas has some of the best (most complete and accurate) water use reporting – especially for irrigation and municipal water use – in the country.

A Very Dry Decade on the Colorado

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With the 2009 “water year” just completed, it’s time to take stock. The decade just completed, 2000-2009, is the driest 10-year period in the Colorado River Basin in the record, according to preliminary data in the latest draft of the Bureau of Reclamation’s Colorado River Annual Operating Plan, a compendium of past data on the river and plans for the coming year:

Provisional calculations of natural flow for the Colorado River at Lees Ferry, Arizona, show that the average natural flow since calendar year 2000 (2000-2009, inclusive) is 11.933 maf (14,719 mcm), the lowest ten-year average in over 100 years of record keeping on the Colorado River.

Recall that the Colorado River Compact assumes 16.5 million acre feet (maf) average flow on the river, divided 7.5 maf for the upper basin states, 7.5 maf for the lower basin states, plus 1.5 maf for Mexico. For the last decade, the river has averaged just 72.3 percent of that amount.

Hume: Fleck is Right

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I have to commend Bill Hume for his op-ed in yesterday’s Albuquerque Journal. (Really, I do have to. He agrees with me!)

Clearly, municipal and state growth planning that includes a hard-nosed recognition of water realities is the only strategy for confronting the offset water tap-out. And, new sources of water or new technologies for stretching the use and reuse of existing supplies are mandatory. The introduction of San Juan-Chama project water is one such new source, but it cannot be easily expanded.

The Water Assembly’s concerns about the sustainability of current water consumption in the Middle Rio Grande are totally valid.

But he’s taking the argument farther than I have in the work I’ve written to date on this. Given the lag between past pumping and future surface water depletions, what happens here in New Mexico when there’s a collision between those ongoing depletions and the surface water rights available to retire via whatever mechanism we’ve got available at that point?

Groundwater Tiff Stalls California Water Deal

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Fascinating Greenwire story in today’s New York Times on a provision for statewide groundwater monitoring potentially sinking California’s massive water legislation deal:

Then groundwater monitoring reappeared and slowed momentum in the chamber. A bill that would require statewide monitoring of water pumped from the ground — as opposed to more relaxed local control — was defeated under pressure from agribusiness groups and water districts, just as it was rejected earlier this fall.

California faces the same huge problem that we have in large areas of the country: overdrafting groundwater. But this story makes it look like the complex water deal taking shape in California depends for its solution on continuing to ignore the groundwater problem there. (h/t Michael Campana)

Storage In Mead and Powell

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Total storage in Lake Mead at the end of September (the end of the western “water year”) was lower than it’s been since they first filled it in the 1940s. But this is a bit more complicated than that stark statement might appear.

Storage in Lakes Mead and Powell

Storage in Lakes Mead and Powell

If you click through to look at a larger version of the graph (numbers on the Y axis are thousands of acre feet of water), you’ll see that total storage in lakes Powell and Mead, the two huge rivers on the main stem of the Colorado River is pretty much the same this year as it was last year. Mead has been dropping while upstream, Lake Powell has been filling. In other words, what we’re seeing here on the short time scale of a single year is the result of a management decision, not a change in the overall supply of water available. It’s worth noting that the last time we saw something similar – Powell rising while Mead fell – was in 1964, after the completion of Glen Canyon Dam, when water was being held back to fill Powell for the first time.

I made the graph over the weekend from a couple of U.S. Bureau of Reclamation datasets because I’ve been having a hard time visualizing how the whole system works. Because of the legal and political distinctions between the Upper Basin and Lower Basin water management systems, much of the discussion involves separate conversations about one of the lakes or the other, not both taken together. And FYI, this is just a quickie analysis, I haven’t done any quality control on the data, so this is not publication quality information.

Oh wait. I guess I just published it, didn’t I?

Stuff I Wrote Elsewhere: The Wonder of it All

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The Albuquerque Journal is engaged in a strange new experiment in running a front page column every day. There is a stable of three regulars, writers who are solely columnists, and a couple of us who are otherwise straight reporters share the remaining slots.

This is the most interesting journalism I’m doing right now, but it’s a weird experience. The normal trajectory of a story involves news happening – an event, an issue, an idea – that provides a news peg, and I figure out how to “storyize” it, then I write it and go into newsroom marketing mode. The columns are different. I’m handed a 600 to 800 word slot on the front page once every few weeks to do what I want with.

It’s a joy.

Today’s was a science riff, about observations done by the Very Large Array (and many other telescopes) about the most distant object ever seen. An ordinary story would peg this off of the news here: an exploding star, the epoch of reionization, understanding the early universe, etc. But the really cool thing here is how incredibly cool it is that humans can look back that far in time. The column format gives me the elbow room to play with that theme:

No human has ever seen an object as distant as the tiny dot of light that showed up in telescopes April 23.

“Thrilled” is how Socorro astronomer Dale Frail described his emotions the day the Very Large Array radio telescope first spotted the dot.

The image had been traveling 13 billion years to get here. Which means that, for Frail, the VLA is a sort of time machine, conveying the great privilege of allowing him to look back to the very dawn of time.

Frail’s a lucky man, and he knows it.

On How to Have a Useful Conversation

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I’ve not been posting on climate change much here at Inkstain recently for a couple of reasons. Most importantly, I’m trying to marshal all of my spare time (and Inkstain is a spare time gig) to think about western water.

Second, the whole climate blogothing has seemed to be increasingly less than helpful, where all the people playing have already made up their minds, and spend all their time trying to win the argument they’re having with all of the other people who have also made up their minds, and it’s all a colossal waste of time.

(a bunch of climate blogo insider stuff to follow – click through if you’re one of the five readers who cares)

Continue reading ‘On How to Have a Useful Conversation’ »

On Saving the Salton Sea

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The Salton Sea is a fascinating case study in the cultural ambiguity of “nature”. Created in 1905 when the Colorado River found a hole in a poorly constructed irrigation intake and flooded low-lying California desert, the Sea has been sustained – sort of – by agricultural runoff. So it’s not at all “natural” by one clear meaning of the word. But it’s there, and its continued shrinkage as a result of evaporation poses huge problems, as detailed in a piece in today’s edition of the Desert Sun:

Sport fishing was first promoted at the Salton Sea in 1907, according to the authority. The sea became a playground for Hollywood stars and others who loved boating and fishing.

Tourism has declined with fish die-offs and the smell created by occasional emissions of hydrogen sulfide. But the area still gets about 150,000 visitors a year.

“It could be such an economic boon,” Larson said.

While the recreational possibilities and visions of shoreline development are intriguing, the biggest reason to be concerned about the Salton Sea is the growing threat to air quality in the Imperial and Coachella valleys.

As the sea level declines and the shoreline recedes, more areas of dry lake bed, or playa, are exposed. The playa is covered with fine sediments deposited at the bottom of the lake. When the winds kick up, particulate matter goes airborne.

The estimated price tag to fix all of this, via a grandiose scheme of hydraulic engineering, is $9 billion, a number so large that it’s almost not worth a serious conversation. If you listen to the rhetoric of the community supporting action, clearly part of the argument is an unwillingness to abandon this crazy notion that we’d have a Riviera in the desert there, if only….

But given the unreality of state or federal spending that large, what should or can be done?

(photo courtesy Omar Omar, licensed under Creative Commons)

Stuff I Wrote Elsewhere: Seismic Risk at Los Alamos

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From the morning paper (sub/ad req.):

Los Alamos National Laboratory could expose its workers and neighbors to a massive and potentially deadly radiation leak in a major earthquake, independent federal safety auditors concluded in a report released Tuesday.

Such earthquakes are rare — one every few thousand years in the Los Alamos area, according to a lab seismic study. But the consequences could be catastrophic, according to the Defense Nuclear Facilities Safety Board.

The safety board’s report calls on the National Nuclear Security Administration, which owns and oversees Los Alamos, to take immediate steps to reduce the risk of an accident.

Water News

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Some accumulated links to recent water news: