Cobranding Gladwell and the Freakonomists

Today, birthday money burning a hole in my pocket, I bought my own copies of Freakonomics and The Tipping Point. I’ve read borrowed copies of both, but wanted to own them: Freakonomics so I could spend some time chasing down the footnotes and thinking through the implications, and The Tipping Point because – well – because when I grow up I want to be Malcolm Gladwell.

It was Todd at work who loaned me his copy of Freakonomics, after a conversation that started when he dumped The Tipping Point on another colleagues desk with the explanation that he really must read it. So I was amused when Gladwell sent this email to Dubner:

thought you would enjoy this. a man in the security line at toronto airport today recognized me, pulled out a copy of freakonomics, and made me sign it. we are totally co-branded! cheers, m.

It’s especially noteworthy because Levitt’s work totally undercuts one of Gladwell’s primary “tipping point” examples: the reasons for New York’s precipitous drop in crime. According to Levitt, it was abortion, not the city’s decision to go after turnstyle-jumpers. It’s a credit to Gladwell that he’s willing to admit he was wrong and happily flack Freakonomics. So today I bought both. They’re so totally co-branded.

Baseball Stats

Newly enthusiastic about baseball statistics, I followed a link chain that started on Levitt and Dubner’s blog and ended up at Hardball Times. When I was talking at the ballgame a few weeks back with my friend Dan about the most underrated baseball statistics, I mentioned “runs scored” and “runs allowed.” Hardball Times has a nice graph that succinctly explains the Yankees’ improving but still quite modest record: they’re giving up a lot of runs.

Injury Report

I met the knee repairman Tuesday (“orthopedic surgeon” sounds so frightening). After looking at the MRI and taking a set of fresh x-rays, he tried to soften his explanation: “I wish I had better news for you.” The lateral meniscus in my right knee – the sort of wedge-shaped pancake of cartilage that cushions the outer half of the femur-tibia junction – is completely trashed. It’s pretty much what my cycling buddy Sage predicted in a moment of candor: “bone on bone.” I’ll need surgery to clean out the crap.

So why isn’t this more traumatic news? Well, first and foremost, it’s fixable. There’s going to be some unpleasantness over the next couple of months, but it’s not a huge deal. It’s not like I was just diagnosed with cancer.

But there’s a second explanation, I think, for the satisfaction I take from the news. What happened to my knee was inevitable, the doc explained. Nearly 20 years ago, I suffered a freak basketball accident that fractured the top of the tibia. The knee repairman I had that time did his best to reshape the tibial surface – where the top of the tibia and the lateral meniscus meet. But it wasn’t perfect, and over the years the surface of the tibial plateau has been slowly chewing away at the meniscus.

In other words, what I had been thinking of as a freak accident was in fact an event with a clear cause and a certain inevitability. Freak accidents are scary. Clear causes and inevitability are far more manageable. Risk perception is a funny thing.

Knee News

OK, so the whole tendonitis thing was a bunch of crap. It’s torn cartilage in my right knee (lateral meniscus, for those of you in the baby boom generation uncomfortably familiar with the anatomical details). Surgery seems likely. Bike racing seems unlikely, at least for a bit.

Notes from the Ballpark

Craig Counsell, the second baseman for the Arizona Diamondbacks, had been alive less than a month when Jimi Hendrix died. Hence the cognitive dissonance when, every time Counsell steps to the plate at the Bank One Ballpark in Phoenix – the BOB – they play Hendrix’s opening lines from “All Along the Watchtower.” It’s a good song, regardless of the time warp.

The D-Backs seem to have an uncomfortable relationship with their desert namesake. The fluffy mascot hopping around at the stadium is bobcat (“BOBcat,” get it), not a snake. It’s hard to make a cute snake, and hard to imagine how you deck out a stuffed one to dance atop the dugout. But in the late innings, when rally energy is needed, a rattler appears on the animated sign board above center field. It’s all rattle and no fangs, though. Snakes are scary, I guess.

There was good theater tonight, in the way of an early summer evening at the ballpark, a langorous nine innings that don’t quite matter as much as nine innings in September. Luis Gonzalez, the D-Backs’ left fielder, got thrown out for arguing a called third strike. It was the second time he’d struck out with a runner on third and only one out – the sort of scoring opportunity he’s paid a substantial sum to convert. Counsell, to the tune of Hendrix, whacked two of the most lovely doubles into the right field corner. And my scorecard looks like chaos in pen, thanks to the complex lineup gymnastics a manager must perform in a league where the pitcher hits. That led to the final bit of theater, when Tony Clark came up to pinch hit. It was the number seven spot in the order, filled at games’ start by the shortstop. But by the ninth inning, we’d seen a double switch, the seven spot in the order had become the pitcher’s spot, and we saw Clark as a pinch hitter, two down in the ninth with the winning run on first.

He lofted a long fly ball to deep right-center, but a bit too high and not quite deep enough. Final score: Washington 4, Arizona 3.

I can add another major league ballpark to my life list.