The latest ENSO forecast from the U.S. government’s Climate Prediction Center shows continued uncertainty:
Most of the statistical and coupled models predict ENSO-neutral conditions in the tropical Pacific through the end of 2006 (Fig. 5). However, the spread of these forecasts (weak La Niña to weak El Niño) indicates considerable uncertainty in the outlook for the last half of the year.
“Continued Uncertainty” is an apt forecast for almost everything but death and taxes.