Explaining the Temperature Record

There has been a great deal of discussion lately about an apparent global cooling trend that conventional climate science is at loss to explain. Most recently, for example, Anthony Watts made much of the latest satellite data out of Huntsville: Confirming what many of us have already noted from the anecdotal evidence coming in of …

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Wave goodbye to La Niña

Today’s Climate Prediction Center monthly ENSO forecast discussion bids a fond farewell to La Niña, and illustrates the difficulty of figuring out what will happen next: A majority of the recent dynamical and statistical SST forecasts for the Niño 3.4 region indicate a transition to ENSO-neutral conditions during June – August 2008 (Fig. 5). During …

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Hurricanes and Global Warming

(oops, typo in headline corrected) Andrew Solow and Andrew Beet out of Woods Hole have a new paper in GRL offering up the latest version of the argument that undercounting may be responsible for a spurious imputation of a trend in hurricanes (and therefore an assertion about the effect of global warming on hurricanes): [T]his …

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Orszag on the “Safety Valve”

CBO’s Peter Orszag on the economics of putting a safety valve in a cap-and-trade bill: One option for allowing firms flexibility in determining when to reduce emissions while also achieving compliance with a cumulative emissions target would be through setting both a ceiling—typically referred to as a safety valve—and a floor on the allowance prices …

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plan out your propaganda

David Appell (who got me hooked on climate blogging in the first place) has some wise words regarding the latest bit of back-and-forth on climate change and hurricanes: Clearly more study is needed. Give the scientists time to do their jobs before you plan out your propaganda.