August Rainfall

Just totaling up my rainfall to send in to the National Weather Service: 1.4 inches (35.5 mm) in August. The official Albuquerque total, out at the airport, was 1.05 inches (26.7 mm). Around town, from the COCORAHS network, totals ranged from a low of 0.54 inch (13.7 mm) out on the southwest mesa to a high of 2.59 inches (65.8 mm) up in the foothills.

Last night, we got another 1.2 inches (30.5 mm) in one spectacular cloudburst. And I’ve got my eye on Henrietta, hoping for more later in the week.

Ed McGaffigan

Ed McGaffigan, former aide to Sen. Jeff Bingaman, long-serving member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and the guy whose endless patience helped me understand, deeply, how government really works, died today.

I will repeat what I wrote in January, when it was clear that Ed was dying:

Reporters depend on the generosity of smart people, people who understand how things work and are willing to spend the time to help us understand it too. In my two decades as a reporter, I can think of only a handful of people as smart, generous and important to my work as Ed.

Urban Heat Islands

Phoenix, Ariz.Let’s play the urban heat island game, shall we?

This is not about whether global warming is real or not. I’m prepared to stipulate that the various groups analyzing global temperatures are doing a fine job of correcting for the UHI in their global temperature trend calculations. This is about the way we’re creating cities that are becoming less livable, on account of how warm it stays in the summer.

Today’s poster child is Phoenix, Ariz. I was in Tucson last week. It seemed to me to be unbearably hot at night there. But a bunch of people at the meeting I was attending, down from Phoenix, seemed positively giddy to be out of the heat.

In August 2007, Phoenix set a record. The average overnight low for the month was 86 F (30 C). The continuous record at the Phoenix airport goes back to 1948. The average August overnight low over that time period is 79.5 F (26.4 C). The last time August fell below that mark was 1990. That’s some serious concrete-fueled, heat-island temperature trapping trend goin’ on out there where they stuck that thermometer.

Death of a Newspaper

Nov. 2, 1989, was a strange day for me. It was the last day the Los Angeles Herald-Examiner published. I did a summer at the HerEx back in 1985, as an intern, and I largely hated every minute of it. We were the scrappy second paper to the much larger Los Angeles Times, all “it bleeds, it leads” kind of journalism. I talked a lot that summer to the relatives of people who had just died in some horrible and unexpected ways. Did I mention that I hated every minute of it?

And yet I had lived within it, and I understood something that has come back over me in waves the last 24 hours with the news that the Albuquerque Tribune will likely close its doors before Halloween. The Trib is our hated competitor, and I have growled many mornings at a headline I didn’t like, or a story that had tread on turf I thought that I owned. But every morning of my working life these last 17 years, I have picked up the Tribune to see what they had to say. I have friends who work there, and its pages are filled with the work of people I respect.

But more than that, something ineffable. The Tribune is a newspaper, and a newspaper is a thing alive. I hated that summer working at the Herald Examiner, but the day it finally went under I cried. And then I got in my car and drove to downtown LA, to the loading dock in the back to buy a copy of the final edition.

A TV reporter approached me and asked me why I was buying a copy. I mumbled something that was largely incoherent, because he never bothered to turn on the camera. He was looking for someone buying them in the hope it would be a collectors item, that they could make money off of. I was buying it to get one last piece of something I thought was very, very important – a newspaper.

George Hotz and Big Toe


George and Big Toe

Originally uploaded by heinemanfleck.

I need to clarify something, because there have been a lot of rumors floating around the Internet since the news broke Friday that George Hotz had hacked an iPhone, unlocking it so you can use it with any mobile phone company.

Big Toe and George did in fact meet and spend some time together back in May, as I blogged about at the time. But Big Toe was not part of the team that reverse-engineered the iPhone to enable the unlock. It is true, as I’ve mentioned previously, that Big Toe has spent a great deal of time in China. In addition to his paleontology, BT was part of the team of hackers that reverse-engineered the Chinese Duplex Integrated Multivariate-Software Univac Mime (DIM-SUM) chip. But that was ultimately not part of George’s approach to hacking the iPhone.

Climate Change and Colorado Water

Based on all the reporting I’ve been doing for the Albuquerque Journal, it seems to me that you could easily substitute “New Mexico” for “Colorado” in this story:

The issue is critical in Western states such as Colorado, where even in wet years almost every river already is “over-appropriated,” with insufficient water to satisfy demand. Yet population continues to surge.

“We’re pretty sure that what is available now may not be available in the future,” said Frank Kugel of the Upper Gunnison River Water Conservation District.

(Via Aquafornia)

Not Melting So Much After All?

I’ve written at some length (and with some enthusiasm) about Phil Mote’s work on declining western snowpack. Here’s an interesting counterpoint:

We conclude that only about one third of the gages exhibit significant trends with time but over half of the gages tested show significant relationships with discharge. Therefore, runoff timing is more significantly correlated with annual discharge than with time. This result differs from previous studies of runoff in the western USA that equate linear time trends to a response to global warming. Our results imply that predicting future snowmelt runoff in the northern Rockies will require linking climate mechanisms controlling precipitation, rather than projecting response to simple linear increases in temperature.

The suggestion here seems to be that precipitation variability, rather than temperature trend, explains a lot of what we’ve been seeing.

Moore, J. N., J. T. Harper, and M. C. Greenwood (2007), Significance of trends toward earlier snowmelt runoff, Columbia and Missouri Basin headwaters, western United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L16402, doi:10.1029/2007GL031022.

Daybook

  • paper of the day: More melting, this time in British Columbia. “The recent rate of glacier loss in the Coast Mountains (17.0 km?3a?1) is approximately double that observed for the previous two decades.”
  • reading: Super Crunchers – yet more on why the algorithms are smarter than the humans and will eventually take over the world and become our dangerous, computer-driven overlords. Bow down before multi-variate regressions.
  • riding: The Double Eagle Time Trial series is over for the year. I removed the time trial bars from the bike this morning, restoring it to its normal bikely goodness. For last night’s finale, nature served up not only thunderstorms dancing across the city but a genuine brush fire.
  • drought: The big bloody mess that is the drought map of the southeastern U.S. just keeps getting worse. North Carolina is now hitting the panic button.