The Nuclear Power Dilemma

Via NEI Nuclear Notes, an interesting discussion about the role of nuclear power in the energy mix as Europe grapples with carbon emission reduction targets. Per capita/per GDP unit carbon emissions in France are already substantially lower than the UK and Germany. France generates 80 percent of its electricity from its nuke plants. The French seem to want to get some credit for that which they already have done:

At his swansong summit, the outgoing French president Jacques Chirac insisted that he would only agree to binding energy targets if nuclear power were included and proposed that 45% of the mix come from non-fossil fuel sources.

Some El Niño That Turned Out to Be

map of ENSO's collapse

With El Niño fleeing the equatorial Pacific over the last month, and with La Niña apparently seizing the opportunity like Rush Limbaugh seeing Al Gore’s electric bill, it’s worth reflecting for a moment on the El Niño that was. From today’s Drought Monitor:

Los Angeles has seen their driest season to date on record, with cumulative rainfall of 2.42 inches (21 percent of normal) since July 1. The Sierra did see additional snowfall early in the week, but snow water content remained less than 60 percent of normal at many locations.

Daybook

  • birds: Via MJH, the Great Blue Heron Flickr project: take a picture of a heron, geotag it, include it in the group, and open source science of a sort occurs
  • paper: Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs: “The net present value of abatement costs for the B2 baseline scenario (a medium scenario) increases from 0.2% of cumulative GDP to 1.1% as the shift is made from 650 to 450 ppm.”
  • word: chile – I’ll just link you to two definitions you can read yourself: from Pete Domenici or Jimi Hendrix
  • music: At the record store over the weekend, I found used music from Janis Joplin, Jimi Hendrix and John Coltrane. Didn’t occur to me until I was paying that I had a theme going, one that actually had a couple of layers. And I don’t mean “old guy music.”
  • stuff I wrote elsewhere: While we’re on the subject of Pete Domenici….

Daybook

  • paper of the day: From GRL, Property loss potentials for European midlatitude storms in a changing climate: “In this study, loss potentials derived from an ensemble of climate models using a simple storm damage model under climate change conditions are shown. For the United Kingdom and Germany ensemble-mean storm-related losses are found to increase by up to 37%.”
  • word of the day: larboard – the side of the ship from which you loaded those big giant shipping containers full of cheap shit from China
  • book of the day: Lissa found the University of Michigan’s Digital Library Text Collection, which has John Wesley Powell’s original Smithsonian report on his first Colorado River expeditions.
  • movie of the day: Nora and I went down to the Guild last night to watch We Aren’t Blocking Traffic, We Are Traffic, a documentary about San Francisco’s Critical Mass movement.

Climate Change: The Roswell Approach

Wish I’d thought of this:

OTTAWA (AFP) – A former Canadian defense minister is demanding governments worldwide disclose and use secret alien technologies obtained in alleged UFO crashes to stem climate change, a local paper said Wednesday.

“I would like to see what (alien) technology there might be that could eliminate the burning of fossil fuels within a generation … that could be a way to save our planet,” Paul Hellyer, 83, told the Ottawa Citizen.

Alien spacecrafts would have traveled vast distances to reach Earth, and so must be equipped with advanced propulsion systems or used exceptional fuels, he told the newspaper.

Such alien technologies could offer humanity alternatives to fossil fuels, he said, pointing to the enigmatic 1947 incident in Roswell, New Mexico — which has become a shrine for UFO believers — as an example of alien contact.

(Hat tip Nora)

More From the Federal Government’s Top Something-or-Another

Conrad Lautenbacher, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, has apparently been reading Roger Pielke Jr.:

The head of the nation’s weather and climate research agency says the biggest challenge facing the world is population growth and people’s desire to live in coastal areas where they can be endangered by storms.

“I believe that the population issue is huge,” Conrad Lautenbacher said Thursday. “And it’s not just the U.S., there are six billion … getting up to seven billion people on the Earth and they all want to live in coastal zones.”

La Niña

We’re standing on the brink of what ENSO forecasters call the spring barrier, the time of year when forecasting coming El Niño/La Niña conditions is hardest. But federal forecasters stuck their neck out today:

In a weekly update, scientists at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center noted that as the 2006-2007 El Niño faded, surface and subsurface ocean temperatures have rapidly decreased. Recently, cooler-than-normal water temperatures have developed at the surface in the east-central equatorial Pacific, indicating a possible transition to La Niña conditions.

What’s interesting here is not necessarily the details. Folks in the community have been talking about this lately. What’s interesting is the significance of the overt act of issuing a news release with the NOAA administrator’s name attached.

Daybook

  • reading: Em Hall’s High and Dry, a classic on New Mexico water that’s one of those books that everyone says you should read. I am.
  • paper of the day: ENSO as a mediator of the solar influence on climate, Julien Emile-Geay and colleagues, in paleoceanography last month: “ENSO may plausibly have acted as a mediator between the Sun and the Earth’s climate.”
  • maps: Western snowpack, from the University of Washington hydrology group. They’ve got a ton of useful products to help track conditions.
  • phenology: My sister said Sunday she’s got her first daffodils (she’s also in Albuquerque)
  • word of the day: loess – a wind-blown soil